E-commerce CRO

Adobe report predicts mobile shopping to dominate holiday sales

As we approach the 2024 holiday shopping season, recent data from Adobe Analytics reveals a significant shift toward mobile shopping, a trend that has profound implications for retailers and marketers. The report projects that mobile devices will account for 53% of all online sales during this critical period, underscoring a remarkable transition in consumer behavior.

This trend isn’t just a fleeting phase; it indicates a lasting transformation in how consumers prefer to shop. Notably, categories such as groceries and personal care are leading this charge. In July 2024, mobile devices captured a staggering 68.2% of online grocery sales. For personal care categories, including cosmetics, online sales reached USD $22.6 billion from January to July 2024, marking a robust year-over-year growth of 7.6%. Such statistics emphasize that consumers are increasingly relying on their mobile devices for convenience and speed.

The comprehensive insights from Adobe Analytics are derived from an extensive analysis of over one trillion visits to U.S. retail websites, encompassing 100 million Stock Keeping Units (SKUs) and 18 product categories. According to Vivek Pandya, lead analyst at Adobe Digital Insights, this shift is primarily fueled by consumer demand for a quicker and more convenient shopping experience. Interestingly, mobile shopping’s ascent is evident when comparing it to previous years—mobile devices represented 43% of online sales during the 2021 holiday season, rising to 51% in 2023. Projections for 2024 show continued growth, with this figure expected to peak at 53%.

Pandya remarks, “Adobe Analytics data shows that consumers have shifted to mobile shopping for frequent and lower-priced purchases, and we anticipate that larger purchase trends will also migrate to smaller screens.” While current data shows that the average basket size on mobile devices is about 32% smaller than that of desktops, this also presents a clear opportunity for brands to refine their mobile strategies to enhance user experience and potentially increase revenue.

Mobile shopping has steadily increased throughout 2024. The initial months of the year saw mobile purchases account for 46.7% of all online sales, growing to 49.3% by July, with an average of 47.7% for the first seven months. Importantly, this period also demonstrated that a record USD $280.4 billion was spent via mobile devices, indicating a 10.2% increase in spending compared to the previous year. Promotional events like Amazon’s Prime Day and Independence Day have further contributed to these rising figures, with mobile sales consistently outpacing desktop shopping during these occasions.

Several categories drive this growth: for instance, grocery online sales increased by 15% year-over-year, totaling USD $66.9 billion from January through July 2024. Additionally, the personal care sector, particularly cosmetics, experienced an impressive 77% of sales through mobile devices in July. Apparel saw similar mobile dominance with a 60.8% share.

However, not all categories are experiencing the same success with mobile. Electronics and home improvement items have reported lower mobile engagement, with mobile sales shares of just 21.3% and 33.3%, respectively, as of mid-2024. This variance indicates that while some sectors are primed for mobile growth, others may need tailored strategies to encourage mobile purchases.

The disparity between large and small retailers is also noteworthy. Large retailers, those with annual revenues exceeding USD $1 billion, have capitalized more significantly on mobile shopping, with an average mobile sales share of 52.8%. Smaller retailers, on the other hand, with revenues ranging from USD $10 million to USD $100 million, report a lower mobile share of 43%. This discrepancy presents a compelling opportunity for smaller retailers to leverage the impulse-driven nature of mobile shopping to drive additional sales.

Consumer spending through the first half of 2024 has remained strong, largely fueled by new demand rather than price increases. The Adobe Digital Price Index, which tracks online prices across 18 product categories, reveals that e-commerce prices have declined over the last 23 months, with a notable 3.7% drop year-over-year in July 2024. While Adobe’s reported spending figures are not adjusted for inflation, taking inflation into account would likely highlight even more pronounced growth in consumer spending.

The upcoming holiday season offers an exciting opportunity for retailers to optimize their mobile platforms. By investing in mobile-friendly designs, user-friendly interfaces, and streamlined checkout processes, businesses can capture the mobile shopping surge. As consumers increasingly opt for convenience, retailers must adapt to meet changing preferences. This adaptation will not only accommodate current shopping habits but will position them favorably for future growth.

As the 2024 holiday season approaches, retailers should remain vigilant in monitoring these trends and adjusting their strategies accordingly. The shift towards mobile shopping is not just relevant for holiday sales, but it is a clear indicator of long-term consumer preferences. Understanding and leveraging this data will be key to success in the rapidly evolving e-commerce landscape.