E-commerce CRO

Adobe report predicts mobile shopping to dominate holiday sales

Adobe Analytics has unveiled compelling insights regarding consumer behavior as we approach the 2024 holiday shopping season. The findings indicate that mobile shopping is set to drive a remarkable 53% of all online sales during this crucial period. This notable shift reflects a significant transition in how consumers now prefer to engage with e-commerce, increasingly opting for the convenience of mobile devices.

The trend towards mobile shopping has been particularly prominent in sectors like groceries and personal care. For instance, mobile devices accounted for an impressive 68.2% of online grocery sales in July 2024. In the personal care category, which includes makeup products, online sales reached approximately USD $22.6 billion between January and July 2024—a 7.6% year-over-year increase. Such statistics underscore the growing inclination among consumers to rely on their mobile devices for everyday shopping, a trend that has been on the rise over the past several years.

The data released by Adobe Analytics is extensive, derived from the analysis of over one trillion visits to U.S. retail websites, covering more than 100 million stock-keeping units (SKUs) across 18 different product categories. Vivek Pandya, the lead analyst at Adobe Digital Insights, highlighted that the growth of mobile shopping is driven largely by consumer demand for speed and convenience. The transition period saw mobile devices account for 43% of online sales during the 2021 holiday season, a modest rise from 40% in 2020. This figure surged to 51% during the 2023 holiday season, indicating that mobile shopping has finally outpaced desktop transactions. Adobe predicts this figure will climb to 53% in 2024.

According to Pandya, consumer preferences are evolving: “Our data shows that shoppers are using mobile devices for frequent and low-cost purchases, but we anticipate that higher-value items will also transition to smaller screens.” Currently, mobile basket sizes are approximately 32% smaller than those made via desktop, presenting both a challenge and a significant opportunity for brands to optimize mobile shopping experiences and subsequently enhance revenue opportunities.

The report also indicates that mobile shopping has demonstrated consistent growth year-to-date in 2024. Beginning in January with a mobile share of 46.7%, this proportion climbed to 49.3% by July, averaging 47.7% over the first seven months of the year. The total spending via mobile devices reached a staggering USD $280.4 billion within this period, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10.2%. Seasonal promotional events such as Prime Day and the Fourth of July played pivotal roles in this increase, with mobile sales consistently outperforming desktop shopping during these occasions, averaging a 51% share.

Key sectors fueling the mobile shopping trend include groceries, which witnessed a 15% rise in online spending, reaching USD $66.9 billion from January to July 2024. The personal care sector, particularly cosmetics, also showed significant momentum, with 77% of online sales transacted through mobile devices in July 2024. Additionally, apparel recorded a commanding mobile sales share of 60.8% during the same month.

However, not all categories have seen similar success on mobile platforms. Electronics and home improvement categories remain less dominant in mobile shopping, with their mobile sales shares sitting at 21.3% and 33.3% respectively as of July 2024.

The Adobe report also highlights a noticeable disparity between larger and smaller retailers concerning mobile shopping trends. Retailers with annual revenues exceeding USD $1 billion have captured an average mobile share of 52.8%, while those with revenues ranging from USD $10 million to USD $100 million reported a mobile share of 43%. This situation presents a distinct opportunity for smaller retailers, as mobile shopping is often associated with increased impulse purchases, broadening potential revenue channels.

Consumer spending is on an upward trajectory in 2024, driven by fresh demand and not merely by inflationary pressures. The Adobe Digital Price Index indicates a continuous decline in online prices over the past 23 months, with a year-over-year decline of 3.7% in July 2024. While Adobe’s spending figures do not account for inflation, incorporating inflation adjustments would likely convey an even more pronounced growth in consumer expenditure.

In summary, as the holiday season approaches, businesses must recognize and adapt to the prevailing trend of mobile shopping. Understanding consumer preferences for mobile-use and enhancing the mobile shopping experience will be vital to drive engagement and sales.